Daniel Fiott

Publications

  • Europe’s Dual Challenge in the Trump Era

    Europe’s Dual Challenge in the Trump Era

    In the absence of the US security guarantee, Europe will have to rearm while also remaining united. The good news is that the Europeans are capable of achieving both—as long as they truly want to. When faced with the second Trump presidency, Europe may be experiencing all five stages of grief at the same time:… Read more

  • Primed for Deterrence? NATO and the Indo-Pacific in the Age of Great Power Competition

    Primed for Deterrence? NATO and the Indo-Pacific in the Age of Great Power Competition

    As the United States prioritises deterrence of China in the Indo-Pacific, the question of how Europeans can take primary responsibility for conventional defence in Europe will take centre stage at NATO’s upcoming 76th Summit in The Hague. Against this backdrop, the future of the Alliance’s own Indo-Pacific agenda hinges on the ability to reconcile two… Read more

  • Going it Alone, Doing So Divided? The Era of Uncertainties and Europe’s Defence Industrial Politics

    Going it Alone, Doing So Divided? The Era of Uncertainties and Europe’s Defence Industrial Politics

    Despite the epoch changing nature of Russia’s war and the second Trump presidency, Europeans do not yet appear ready for more European Union (EU) defence integration. The European Commission has designed a credible package of defence industrial initiatives, detailed its White Paper, but some schemes risk reinforcing the very structural risks the Commission seeks to… Read more

  • Special Delivery? The European Council and the March 2025 Defence Summit

    Special Delivery? The European Council and the March 2025 Defence Summit

    The 6 March 2025 European Council special meeting focused on European defence and support to Ukraine. European leaders have put-off answering fundamental questions related to European security guarantees. The special European Council meeting set the parameters for a substantial increase in European defence spending. CSDS Policy Brief Read Read more

  • Spending Our Way Out of a Crisis? The Challenges and Benefits of ReArming Europe

    Spending Our Way Out of a Crisis? The Challenges and Benefits of ReArming Europe

    The European Commission has announced a €800 billion increase in defence spending, but this figure masks the challenges facing Europe’s defence market. The injection of €150 billion worth of loans for defence raises questions about the real needs of Europe’s defence. The European Commission is set to introduce a raft of new measures to support… Read more

  • All in? The revival of the Spanish and European defence industry

    All in? The revival of the Spanish and European defence industry

    Meeting at an informal leaders’ retreat in Brussels in early February 2025, EU leaders were keen to establish the political guidelines for a host of defence policy developments in 2025. In the context of the continuing war against Ukraine, and the uncertainties posed by the new US Administration, Europeans are set to bolster their cooperation… Read more