Daniel Fiott

Publications

  • Sovereignty by Design? Security of Supply in Defence in the European Union

    Sovereignty by Design? Security of Supply in Defence in the European Union

    In 2025, security of supply in defence in the European Union is yet again on the policy agenda, especially given the ongoing war on Ukraine and shifts in the transatlantic relationship. In this policy paper, we take stock of the EU’s recent efforts to develop defence industrial policy and its relationship with security of supply.… Read more

  • Hanging Together or Hanging Separately? Europe and the Indo-Pacific in United States-China Rivalry

    Hanging Together or Hanging Separately? Europe and the Indo-Pacific in United States-China Rivalry

    The United States appears to be consistent on the idea that “great power” or “strategic” competition and, more specifically, “competition with China” stands out as its overriding national security priority. Insofar as Trump administration’s strategic approach towards Ukraine and Europe appears to be significantly informed by China and Indo Pacific-related considerations, the US is operating… Read more

  • Europe’s Dual Challenge in the Trump Era

    Europe’s Dual Challenge in the Trump Era

    In the absence of the US security guarantee, Europe will have to rearm while also remaining united. The good news is that the Europeans are capable of achieving both—as long as they truly want to. When faced with the second Trump presidency, Europe may be experiencing all five stages of grief at the same time:… Read more

  • Primed for Deterrence? NATO and the Indo-Pacific in the Age of Great Power Competition

    Primed for Deterrence? NATO and the Indo-Pacific in the Age of Great Power Competition

    As the United States prioritises deterrence of China in the Indo-Pacific, the question of how Europeans can take primary responsibility for conventional defence in Europe will take centre stage at NATO’s upcoming 76th Summit in The Hague. Against this backdrop, the future of the Alliance’s own Indo-Pacific agenda hinges on the ability to reconcile two… Read more

  • Going it Alone, Doing So Divided? The Era of Uncertainties and Europe’s Defence Industrial Politics

    Going it Alone, Doing So Divided? The Era of Uncertainties and Europe’s Defence Industrial Politics

    Despite the epoch changing nature of Russia’s war and the second Trump presidency, Europeans do not yet appear ready for more European Union (EU) defence integration. The European Commission has designed a credible package of defence industrial initiatives, detailed its White Paper, but some schemes risk reinforcing the very structural risks the Commission seeks to… Read more

  • Special Delivery? The European Council and the March 2025 Defence Summit

    Special Delivery? The European Council and the March 2025 Defence Summit

    The 6 March 2025 European Council special meeting focused on European defence and support to Ukraine. European leaders have put-off answering fundamental questions related to European security guarantees. The special European Council meeting set the parameters for a substantial increase in European defence spending. CSDS Policy Brief Read Read more