Tag: Foresight
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European Defence and Statecraft in 2050: And What Needs to be Done to Get There
What would European defence look like if NATO were to disband or become ineffective? In the latest paper in CEPR’s Europe 2050 series, Daniel Fiott (Vrije Universiteit Brussel) treats this as a serious thought experiment rather than a remote contingency. His starting point is that the EU, in its current…
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The Strategy Trap? European Threat Assessments and the Problem of Common Action
The EU’s 2026 threat assessment demonstrates that while Europe has developed a clearer understanding of its strategic environment, it remains less certain about the political choices required to respond to it. Russia’s war has brought European threat perceptions closer together, but convergence around the existence of a threat has yet…
Daniel Fiott 