Tag: Russia
-
The Strategy Trap? European Threat Assessments and the Problem of Common Action
The EU’s 2026 threat assessment demonstrates that while Europe has developed a clearer understanding of its strategic environment, it remains less certain about the political choices required to respond to it. Russia’s war has brought European threat perceptions closer together, but convergence around the existence of a threat has yet…
-
Russia’s War on Ukraine: A Zeitenwende for European Defence?
Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 profoundly transformed Europe’s strategic landscape, forcing governments across the continent to rethink the foundations of their defence policies. But did the war truly result in a European “Zeitenwende”? This volume provides the first comprehensive analysis of how European countries, the EU, and NATO…
-
Order, Counter-Order, Disorder? Regional and Global Security Orders in the Shadow of Sino-American Competition
As part of an international security seminar organised by the US Military Academy, West Point, in February 2023, a collection of essays have been produced based on the panel sessions. I was extremely pleased to contribute three essays to the collection along with my great American colleagues. The three papers…
-
Europe’s Geopolitical Coming of Age Requires Greater Defense Efforts
Having already experienced what life is like under a Donald Trump US presidency, the Europeans presently seem rather blasé about what a potential second Trump administration could entail for the European Union and NATO. For all his (very real) sins, Trump gave voice to the long-standing tensions at the heart…
-
When the War Ends: Rebuilding Ukraine and European Security
€383 billion. This is the amount of investment the World Bank believes is required to reconstruct Ukraine over a 10-year period. Ukraine’s own government puts the post-war reconstruction bill at about €679 billion over 10 years. The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development puts the figure at €250 billion for 5 years,…
-
Disorder: the War and Russia’s Economic Statecraft
Abstract Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, the West has looked to support Kyiv and impose crushing economic measures on the Russian economy. Sanctions and divestment have punctured a hole in Russia’s war fighting machine, but there are also fears that the Kremlin has been able to use…
-
Annus Horribilis: Russia’s War, Ukraine’s Struggle, Europe’s Future
Abstract One year on from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Europe continues to support Kyiv with military equipment and financial and political support. The bravery of Ukrainians is unparalleled, but, to truly support Ukraine, Europe needs to answer serious questions about its defence. Potential future turbulence in the transatlantic relationship means…
-
Relative Dominance: Russian Naval Power in the Black Sea
Russia is struggling in its war on Ukraine. Kyiv’s military advances have allowed the country to seize back more of its territory, vindicating Western efforts to deliver military equipment and weapons to Kyiv to stem Russian advances and to enable Ukrainian forces to retake territory Russia had annexed. In response,…
-
To face the Russian Threat, Europeans Need to Spend Together – not Side by Side
If European states are to make good on their promises to protect their interests and their continent, they will need to stand side by side, but invest together, write a group of scientific advisers to the Armament Industry European Research Group (ARES). Euractiv, 2022 Read more
-
Another Russian invasion of Ukraine? A Scenario
In the summer of 2020, Russian forces entered Dnipropetrovsk International Airport (Ukraine’s fourth largest city), blockaded the M34 motorway that links Dnipropetro- vsk to Kiev and seized railway lines in the region. At the same time, Russia deployed the Admiral Grigorovich, Ladnyy and Smetlivyy frigates and the Azov and Caesar Kunikov landing ships in the Sea of Azov, sent…
Daniel Fiott 